Will Donald Trump say “Illegal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Illegal” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 15, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Illegal
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Supreme Court of the United States, giving free health care to all illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent criminals…
…of deadly sanctuary cities. He voted to give lavish welfare benefits to illegal aliens and even wrote a memo giving illegal alien criminals instructions on…
…-- the -- the schemes that they use for impersonation and other illegal acts. And it's very, very severe. When you see some of the…
…poured through, totally unchecked, totally unvetted. In the past 17 months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted to the United States. ZERO, RIGHT? Remember the…
…old, actually, well over 100, many, many over 100. We kicked 275,000 illegal aliens off of Social Security. And Frank has been amazing in Social…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Illegal”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Illegal” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 15, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Illegal” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Illegal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/illegal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=illegal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP