Will Donald Trump say “Houston”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Houston” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

35%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Houston

Probability
35% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 16:27In transcript

…and we had we filled up the both the Dallas and the Houston arena and he said he's going to have a contest against us…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 28, 2026HoustonKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026HoustonKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Houston”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Houston” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Houston” next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Houston’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/houston (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=houston · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP