Will Donald Trump say “Green New Scam” 2+ times?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Green New Scam” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 12, 2024.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Green New Scam 2+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 53:32In transcript

…I also declared a national emergency on energy and terminated the Green New Scam. One of the greatest hoaxes in the history of our country.…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 12, 2024Green New Scam 2+ timesPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Green New Scam 2+ times”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Green New Scam” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 12, 2024.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Green New Scam 2+ times” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Green New Scam 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/green-new-scam-2plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=green%20new%20scam%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP