Will Donald Trump say “Gold Card / Trump Card”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Gold Card / Trump Card” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gold Card / Trump Card
- Probability
- 39% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Gold Card / Trump Card |  Polymarket | No | – |
| May 23, 2025 | Gold card / Trump card | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 16, 2025 | Trump card / Gold card | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Gold Card / Trump Card | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gold Card / Trump Card”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Gold Card / Trump Card” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gold Card / Trump Card” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gold Card / Trump Card’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gold-card-or-trump-card (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gold%20card%20%2F%20trump%20card · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP