Will Donald Trump say “Greg/Gianforte”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Greg/Gianforte” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2025.

Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Greg/Gianforte

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 6 speeches
said in 1 of 6

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 1:23:08In transcript

…luck. Very important. And reelect all of my friends and their warriors. Greg Stwie. Where's Greg? Where's Greg? The only man to hit a home…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 20, 2025Greg/GianforteKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Greg/Gianforte”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Greg/Gianforte” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Greg/Gianforte” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Greg/Gianforte’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gianforte-or-greg (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gianforte%20%2F%20greg · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP