Will Donald Trump say “Friend”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Friend” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Friend
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…for something So, I get used to it. You know, I have friends that if they get sued, they have almost a nervous breakdown. Sure,…
…to some of their conversations very nicely. We're very good. Is that friend or foe back there? Friend or foe? There's a young man screaming…
…put in think of it 6 bill250 million now. 6 bill2 I have a friend. He put up a hundred million. I said you didn't
…what they did in France. And I told President Macron, who's a friend of mine -- I have known him right from the beginning. Right…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Friend”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Friend” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Friend” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Friend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/friend (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=friend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP