Will Donald Trump say “Frankly”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Frankly” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2025.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Frankly
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…no it's he says all the time there's such a pain and frankly and I'm playing with this you know this is tricky. It's called…
…from the NRA and is endorsed by the Iowa Farm Bureau. And frankly, she's always calling me and asking me for things like for Iowa.…
…morning. The -- their money is gone. Everything's gone. So -- and frankly, their leaders are gone. The first set of leaders are gone, the…
…it; we got Greenland. And it's a great relationship we have with, frankly, Europe but they have to straighten out their act, otherwise there won't…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2025 | Frankly |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Frankly”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Frankly” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Frankly” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Frankly’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/frankly (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=frankly · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP