Will Donald Trump say “Florida / Mar-a-Lago”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Florida / Mar-a-Lago” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 3, 2026.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Florida / Mar-a-Lago
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Well, I just want to say a very special hello, Florida. We love you, Florida. And I'm thrilled to be back in my home state,…
like 32 states. Florida, Texas. Uh we're going to Mississippi records. All records, you know, all records. So don't get too cocky. You know, when…
…I in a different state? Maybe like Biden. Remember, he was in Florida and he thought he was in Maine. I love to be in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Florida / Mar-a-Lago |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Florida / Mar-a-Lago”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Florida / Mar-a-Lago” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Florida / Mar-a-Lago” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Florida / Mar-a-Lago’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/florida-or-mar-a-lago (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=florida%20%2F%20mar%20a%20lago · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP