Will Donald Trump say “Florida”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Florida” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 24, 2026.

Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Florida

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 6 speeches
said in 1 of 6

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 2:46In transcript

Well, I just want to say a very special hello, Florida. We love you, Florida. And I'm thrilled to be back in my home state,…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 25:31In transcript

like 32 states. Florida, Texas. Uh we're going to Mississippi records. All records, you know, all records. So don't get too cocky. You know, when…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 9:57In transcript

…I in a different state? Maybe like Biden. Remember, he was in Florida and he thought he was in Maine. I love to be in…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 24, 2026FloridaKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Florida”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Florida” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 24, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Florida” next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Florida’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/florida (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=florida · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP