Will Donald Trump say “Fake News” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Fake News” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Fake News 10+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I mean, when you look outside and you have and I have to be careful because the fake news will say if I'm wrong, you
…quickly turned it around into what they are calling. And even the fake news back there is starting to see the number. Wow, that's a…
…hate doing it. You know what happens when I do that? The fake news back there. My wife said to me, she says hello. She…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | Fake News 10+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Fake News 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Fake News” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 3, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Fake News 10+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Fake News 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fake-new-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fake%20new%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP