Will Donald Trump say “Elon” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Elon” 3+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2024 (100%), most recently on Oct 19, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Elon 3+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…because data centers are so I say let them come in like in Memphis I think it's Elon he's building some in Memphis I could
…tremendous respect for, Elhan Omar. And I was saddened to hear that Elon Omar is not her name. It's not It's not Elon Omar. The…
…moderate. So he can go vote with extremists like Abdul Muhammad Aliad. They can be together. and James Telerico and oh no Elon Omar B.
…has been an incredible partner to law enforcement, as has X and Elon Musk. In April, FBI and the Dubai Police announced the arrest of…
…popular. Federal government puts in a thousand and we have tremendous men. Elon just made a big investment. Uh Michael Dell and Susan put in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Elon 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Elon 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Elon 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Elon” 3+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2024 (100%), most recently on Oct 19, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Elon 3+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Elon 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/elon-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=elon%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP