Will Donald Trump say “November 5th / Election”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “November 5th / Election” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
November 5th / Election
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…their seat to let somebody please raise your hand, please. In this election, the Democrat party has nominated the most extreme anti-American radicals ever to…
…is, but that's why I don't understand why they are having the election to be honest with you. Turk also voted in favor of deadly…
…them are sick and they want to destroy our country. In this election, I'm asking you to pretend I'm on the ballot because when I'm…
…part of the country is corrupt. We need borders, we need good elections, we need great journalists and we have to stop the tremendous fraud…
…of future greatness or generations? But I believe we'll make a deal right after the election, because it doesn't make sense for them not to.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | November 5th / Election |  Polymarket | No |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Election / November 5th | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “November 5th / Election”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “November 5th / Election” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 11, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “November 5th / Election” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘November 5th / Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/election-or-november-5th (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=election%20%2F%20november%205th · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP