Will Donald Trump say “Early”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Early” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Early
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the beginning, maybe the first. Boy, you were right there. You were early. Thank you very much. I've I don't know if I've ever thanked…
…cuz if if you get out, we're going to win big. And early voting in Iowa is underway right now. And so get everyone that…
…as a young guy, a very young guy. He got it very early. And it's too bad that you had to ruin your youth to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Early |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Early”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Early” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Early” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Early’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/early (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=early · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP