Will Donald Trump say “Dome / Shield”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dome / Shield” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 16, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- May 12, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Dome / Shield
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…And I called Vladimir Putin on Friday and I said, "Will you do me a favor? Give me the the person you have named Steven…
…a good state that was. In this election, I'm asking you to do me a very big favor. So when I run, I get 50%…
…And I called up Vladimir Putin and I said, "You got to do me a favor. You got to give me back Steven Hubard." His…
…I hope the Europeans realize that Iran's goal was to complete their mad dash to a nuclear bomb from behind this conventional ballistic missile shield.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | Dome / Shield |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Dome / Shield”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dome / Shield” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 16, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Dome / Shield” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Dome / Shield’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/dome-or-shield (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=dome%20%2F%20shield · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP