Will Donald Trump say “Democrat” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Democrat” 5+ times at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Democrat 5+ times
- Probability
- 63% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
19 counted.
…the United States Senate. And we're going to defeat the radical left Democrats all across the country. And we're going to win a Republican House…
…to let somebody please raise your hand, please. In this election, the Democrat party has nominated the most extreme anti-American radicals ever to seek office,…
Counts: named speaker only
19 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…to use it. He's great. He's a great guy, too. That the Democrat party has just conceded her seat. that Elhan Nur say Elmei, her…
…right now. And so get everyone that you know, go vote. The Democrats would say go vote. Just pick up anybody. They don't have to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Democrat 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 19 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Democrat 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 19 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Democrat 5+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Democrat 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Democrat 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Democrat” 5+ times at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Democrat 5+ times” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Democrat 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/democrat-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=democrat%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP