Will Donald Trump say “Deal” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Deal” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 16, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Deal 10+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…are nicer ways for you to make a living. You want to deal with these maniacs? You can deal if you want, but there are…
…I announced it. I thought it was going to be a big deal. Nobody even covered it. I took a because you know that if…
…successful bipartisan effort to pass the Take It Down Act, a big deal.And it went almost, I think, unanimously through Congress. We are very bipartisan.…
…day, right? You know, somebody said, somebody said that Evander, the real deal, Holyfield is here. Where is Evander? Is here. Oh, look at him.…
…American taxpayers are tired of it. We want Zelenskyy to make a deal. He can make a deal. He could have made a deal two…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | Deal 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Deal 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Deal” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 16, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Deal 10+ times” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Deal 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/deal-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=deal%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP