Will Donald Trump say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” 5+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” 5+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 11, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in Washington DC. Many of them came through the open borders from sleepy Joe Biden. But we moved out of 5,000 career criminals. And a…
…Myers earlier this year, an illegal alien released into our county by crooked Joe Biden. You know who I'm talking about. strangled and killed a…
…was right. The other one was $185. Now, do you think that sleepy Joe Biden Do you think he's looking at pumps to find out…
You think Sleepy Joe would say, "Gee, the wall's not looking too good today." He He didn't know he was alive. Guy was he the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” 5+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 11, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crooked-joe-or-sleepy-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crooked%20joe%20%2F%20sleepy%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP