Will Donald Trump say “Crook / Crooked”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crook / Crooked” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2025.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crook / Crooked
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Myers earlier this year, an illegal alien released into our county by crooked Joe Biden. You know who I'm talking about. strangled and killed a…
all. I think ABC is the most crooked of all. You know, it's funny. They spend all this money on on uh PR, you know,…
…of the things that we're finding in Minnesota and California, we have crooked politicians running the places, it really gets bad. Countless American victims have…
…He's 100 percent guilty, he's a fraud, he's a thief, he's a crook, and he's getting away. By just getting out of office he's getting…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Crook / Crooked |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crook / Crooked”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crook / Crooked” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crook / Crooked” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crook / Crooked’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crook-or-crooked (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crook%20%2F%20crooked · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP