Will Donald Trump say “Crime / Criminal” 15+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crime / Criminal” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 16, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crime / Criminal 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent criminals to rob, rape, and kill. Why can't I have a candidate like…
…benefits to illegal aliens and even wrote a memo giving illegal alien criminals instructions on how to evade capture. He's explaining to them how to…
…want to thank everybody for being here. The effort to stop cyber crime and cyber fraud has been ongoing for many years, but I think…
…control. The hardest thing we have to do is nab these career criminals, these horrendous people, and get them the hell out of here. Get…
…Treasury involved to follow where the money's hiding. It's not just the criminal in front of you that Nick saw. It's also the people behind…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Crime / Criminal 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crime / Criminal 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crime / Criminal” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crime / Criminal 15+ times” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crime / Criminal 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crime-or-criminal-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crime%20%2F%20criminal%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP