Will Donald Trump say “Crime / Criminal” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crime / Criminal” 10+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 61¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crime / Criminal 10+ times
- Probability
- 64% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent criminals to rob, rape, and kill. Why can't I have a candidate like…
…benefits to illegal aliens and even wrote a memo giving illegal alien criminals instructions on how to evade capture. He's explaining to them how to…
…want to thank everybody for being here. The effort to stop cyber crime and cyber fraud has been ongoing for many years, but I think…
…control. The hardest thing we have to do is nab these career criminals, these horrendous people, and get them the hell out of here. Get…
…Treasury involved to follow where the money's hiding. It's not just the criminal in front of you that Nick saw. It's also the people behind…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crime / Criminal 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Crime / Criminal 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crime / Criminal 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crime / Criminal” 10+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crime / Criminal 10+ times” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crime / Criminal 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crime-or-criminal-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crime%20%2F%20criminal%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP