Will Donald Trump say “Crap”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crap” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 21, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Dec 17, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crap
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…door. Oh, isn't that wonderful? You knock on it. It sounds like crap. But you pull it a little and if you're if you're of…
…don't don't worry. It's all ended. I got rid of all that crap. So So now you can actually No. Before I came in, you…
…do it two years in a row." I said, "What kind of crap is that? We We never He" He said, "We never do it…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Crap |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crap”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crap” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 21, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crap” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crap’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crap (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crap · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP