Will Donald Trump say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Corrupt / Corruption” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Corrupt / Corruption
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We will win the war on corruption and fraud led by our great Vice President J. Vance. And we will pass the No Invasion of…
…going to be very, very happy. We will win our war on corruption and fraud and let our great vice president keep doing his job.…
…from day one of my administration, we've waged an unprecedented war on corruption and fraud, and will not let our country be looted and plundered…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Corrupt / Corruption |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| May 18, 2026 | Corrupt / Corruption |  Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Corrupt / Corruption” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Corrupt / Corruption” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Corrupt / Corruption’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/corrupt-or-corruption (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP