Will Donald Trump say “Constitution / Constitutional”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Constitution / Constitutional” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 2, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Constitution / Constitutional
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…And she came into our country and she immediately announced that my constitutional rights allow me to tell you how to run the United States…
…is run around shooting each other. Then she comes over here. The constitution gives me absolute right to freedom of speech. She's telling us about…
…to run the United States of America. And she'll say I have constitutional rights. And she never heard the word concept -- she never saw…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Constitution / Constitutional |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Constitution / Constitutional”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Constitution / Constitutional” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Constitution / Constitutional” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Constitution / Constitutional’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/constitution-or-constitutional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=constitution%20%2F%20constitutional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP