Will Donald Trump say “Rare / Chronic”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rare / Chronic” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 31, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Rare / Chronic
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…get him. We -- we gave nothing in exchange, which is very rare. We never give anything in exchange we have. And we've taken --…
…that money, and we got a very big chunk of land and rare earth and other things, if anybody remembers. Let's see what that amounts…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Rare / Chronic |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Rare / Chronic”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rare / Chronic” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rare / Chronic” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rare / Chronic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/chronic-or-rare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=chronic%20%2F%20rare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP