Will Donald Trump say “Child” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Child” 5+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Child 5+ times
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…charge for DHS. Underneath the Secret Service alone, they have recovered 14,600 child abuse videos, as the first lady has so eloquently said, take it…
…be a moderate, but she's really a rabid advocate for taxpayer funded child sexual mutilation, mutilization, and that's nothing she can do about it. That's…
…bribed. Moms were getting bribed $1,500 a kid to lie that their child had autism. That has two problems. One, the kid now falsely has…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Child 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| May 6, 2026 | Child 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Child 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Child” 5+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Child 5+ times” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Child 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/child-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=child%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP