Will Donald Trump say “Ceasefire / Uranium”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ceasefire / Uranium” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 49¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Ceasefire / Uranium
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…is now well over 300%. Yet even after we agreed to a cease fire for nuclear discussions, Iran promptly violated it with brazen acts of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ceasefire / Uranium |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (5 of 10 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Ceasefire / Uranium”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ceasefire / Uranium” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Ceasefire / Uranium” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Ceasefire / Uranium’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ceasefire-or-uranium (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ceasefire%20%2F%20uranium · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP