Will Donald Trump say “DC / Capital”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “DC / Capital” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 18, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
DC / Capital
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…looks sharp. We And we did that whole thing with Washington. Washington DC went from a murderous, horrible place two years ago to one of…
…level in 125 years since 1900. And when Ashley goes to Washington DC where Joanie has spent a lot of very prosperous years. Great job…
…many American families. I also want to recognize our US attorney from DC, Jeanine Pirro, who's here, and our chief of our criminal division, Tysen…
…crime ever recorded with the murder rate the lowest it's been in 125 years since 1900 amazing then Washington DC which was a dangerous murderous
…importantly, when I arrived on January 20th of last year in Washington, D.C., it was riddled with crime. And now crime is down 87% and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2025 | DC / Capital |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “DC / Capital”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “DC / Capital” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 18, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “DC / Capital” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘DC / Capital’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/capital-or-dc (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=capital%20%2F%20dc · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP