Will Donald Trump say “Brother / Sister”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Brother / Sister” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Oct 19, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 100¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Brother / Sister
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you wouldn't even believe this cuz it's the exact name of her brother, Ahmed Nure Say Elme, the person they said she married to come…
of her brother Ahmed Nur say Almi, the person that they say she married and had children with. Are you allowed to do that, Jeff?…
And after Darlene's brother, oh, I loved her brother. That guy was a great guy and a he was a seriously good politician, by the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brother / Sister |  Polymarket | Yes | 9 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Brother / Sister”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Brother / Sister” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Brother / Sister” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Brother / Sister’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/brother-or-sister (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=brother%20%2F%20sister · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP