What is the probability Donald Trump says “Boris/Johnson” next time?

41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Donald Trump say “Boris/Johnson”?

Name: Donald Trump: “Boris/Johnson” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Boris/Johnson” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 28, 2025.

Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 13:06 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Boris/Johnson

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 2 press conferences: said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 28:40In transcript

…So, Byron and Ashley, please inform the Speaker of the House of Representatives, James Michael Johnson. You didn't know his first name was James. James

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 12:28In transcript

…So, please inform our great Speaker of the House of Representatives, James Michael Johnson. I bet you didn't know that James was there, right? I

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Feb 28, 2025	Boris/Johnson	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Boris/Johnson”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Boris/Johnson” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 28, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Boris/Johnson” next time?: 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Boris/Johnson’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/boris-or-johnson (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=boris%20%2F%20johnson · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP