Will Donald Trump say “Boat / Ship”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Boat / Ship” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 22, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Boat / Ship
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…You know what their number one industry is? Being pirates and robbing ships. No. All they have is crime. And she sailed. I don't know…
…Nebraska, made a little speech, and he took off like a rocket ship. You saw that, right? It was going to be close. Not close…
…you see that. You shouldn't feel bad because each one of those boats will kill 5 to 10,000 people. So you can't feel that bad…
As a result of Operation Epic Fury, all 159 ships of their navy are now lying at the bottom of the sea. Likewise, their air…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2025 | Boat / Ship |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Boat / Ship”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Boat / Ship” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Boat / Ship” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Boat / Ship’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/boat-or-ship (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=boat%20%2F%20ship · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP