Will Donald Trump say “Thousand / Million / Billion” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Thousand / Million / Billion” 5+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group…
…I'd say that's right there. How about what they've done destroying Minnesota. 500,000 people. They destroyed they're destroying Well, maybe it could be saved. We…
…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…
…years ago, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. And
…lovely community from Somalia, lovely country -- in Minneapolis, Minnesota, was stealing billions and billions of dollars, taxpayer money, through fraudulent childcare centers and other…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Thousand / Million / Billion” 5+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-million-or-thousand-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20thousand%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP