Will Donald Trump say “Barron / Genius”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Barron / Genius” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Barron / Genius
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…year I'm up 67%. And she thinks I'm the most brilliant financial genius ever. And I just want to thank you. I actually asked him…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…me, I suspect. But there's nothing wrong. Isn't that amazing? No, they're genius. They're genius. They have a situation today. I shouldn't talk about it,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Barron / Genius |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 6, 2026 | Barron / Genius | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Barron / Genius”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Barron / Genius” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Barron / Genius” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Barron / Genius’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/barron-or-genius (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=barron%20%2F%20genius · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP