Will Donald Trump say “Barrel”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Barrel” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Barrel
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…And now we're working with them to produce millions and millions of barrels of oil a week. And in Iran, I terminated the Barack Hussein…
…now we're working with them. And we're producing millions and millions of barrels of oil a week. Millions of million coming back into when the…
…and are now working with them to produce millions and millions of barrels of oil coming into our country. Millions. It's uh tremendous oil. We…
…of like JD said it to me, it's shooting fish in a barrel. There's so much it's -- they had no idea. And they had…
The United States Navy has recently escorted more than 1 billion barrels of oil out of the Strait of Hormuz, and more oil is flowing…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Barrel”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Barrel” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Barrel” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Barrel’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/barrel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=barrel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP