Will Donald Trump say “Bill / Barr”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Bill / Barr” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 13, 2025.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bill / Barr
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 3 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…lucky to have you. Angie Nixon was the lead sponsor of a bill to let schools turn children, all of them transgender if they want,…
…the largest tax cuts in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax…
…the largest tax cuts in American history with a great big beautiful bill, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social…
…Mr. President, that teaches people that they actually have to send real bills and they can't make them up. Now, fraud in Minnesota rhymes with…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | Bill / Barr |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bill / Barr”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Bill / Barr” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bill / Barr” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bill / Barr’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/barr-or-bill (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=barr%20%2F%20bill · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP