Will Donald Trump say “Bad / Badly”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bad / Badly” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 14, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bad / Badly
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
you probably don't know who it is, but he was a bad guy. And uh she is terrible. I couldn't actually I couldn't believe it.…
…worst answers I think I've ever heard. You know, I've heard some bad political answers. I could go over a lot of them, but that…
…and California, we have crooked politicians running the places, it really gets bad. Countless American victims have had their life savings, bank accounts, college funds,…
…things, I call them Democrats. You know why their policy is so bad? Dum. I just switched the U for an E. It was quite…
…a very young guy. He got it very early. And it's too bad that you had to ruin your youth to find that such bad…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Bad / Badly |  Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bad / Badly”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bad / Badly” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bad / Badly” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bad / Badly’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bad-or-badly (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bad%20%2F%20badly · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP