Will Donald Trump say “Ammo / Ammunition”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Ammo / Ammunition” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 3, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Ammo / Ammunition
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…be leading to very rapid deployment of missiles of every type and ammunition of every type, and will be able to supply our allies at…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ammo / Ammunition |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Ammo / Ammunition”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Ammo / Ammunition” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Ammo / Ammunition” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Ammo / Ammunition’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ammo-or-ammunition (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ammo%20%2F%20ammunition · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP