Will Donald Trump say “Abdul / El-Sayed”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Abdul / El-Sayed” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 11, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Abdul / El-Sayed
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…this is not moderate. So he can go vote with extremists like Abdul Muhammad Aliad. They can be together. and James Telerico and oh no…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Abdul / El-Sayed |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Abdul / El-Sayed”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Abdul / El-Sayed” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Abdul / El-Sayed” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Abdul / El-Sayed’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/abdul-or-el-sayed (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=abdul%20%2F%20el%20sayed · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP