Politics: First family & former presidents mention markets

As of Oct 24, 2026, Parrot lists 1 First family & former presidents mention-market event in the next 14 days, for 7 people, shows and companies.

US politics: cabinet, Congress, governors, hearings, debates, courts, candidates.

Data updated · Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

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GET /api/v1/upcoming?category=politics&days=14

Numbers: events in the next 14 days

Coming up

next 14 days · 1 event

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

Sat, Oct 24

Today1 event

Barack Obama · Midterm rally in Ohio

Barack ObamaMidterm rally in Ohio
Barack Obama: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word2 listings before the last1 listing before the lastthe last settled listingChance
next time: probability
MichelleK 51¢Michelle: said, 2 listings before the lastMichelle: said, 1 listing before the lastMichelle: said, the last settled listing59% from settlement history
ChicagoK 24¢Chicago: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastChicago: said, 1 listing before the lastChicago: said, the last settled listing58% from settlement history
AffordK 92¢Afford: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastAfford: no appearance in 1 listing before the lastAfford: said, the last settled listing– too little history for a probability
250K 15¢250: no appearance in 2 listings before the last250: not said, 1 listing before the last250: said, the last settled listing46% from settlement history
ConstitutionK 82¢Constitution: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastConstitution: not said, 1 listing before the lastConstitution: said, the last settled listing46% from settlement history
BidenK 28¢Biden: not said, 2 listings before the lastBiden: said, 1 listing before the lastBiden: not said, the last settled listing41% from settlement history
Kalshi+18 more words

Who is covered

7, most active first

Most-tracked words

by settled listings; probability = calibrated p for the next listing
Politics: most-tracked words
WordWhoLast 10 settledSaid when listedNext time
DonaldMelania TrumpMelania Trump2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no yes3/1916%26%n=19 from settlement history

Citeparrot.markets, “Politics: First family & former presidents mention markets”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics?sub=first-family (CC BY 4.0)