Hillary Clinton

Politics · First family & former presidentsPersonHistory onlyUpdated

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 23 word markets on Hillary Clinton’s appearances since 2024, on 23 different words.

History Wall

1–23 of 23, most settled first
Hillary Clinton: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordAug 19 ’24speechSep 10 ’26latestLast 2SettledProbability
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityNot listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
AI / Artificial IntelligenceNot listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
BidenNot listed: Biden, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Biden, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
ElectionNot listed: Election, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Election, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Oil / Gas / GasolineNot listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
HealthcareNot listed: Healthcare, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Healthcare, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
IranNot listed: Iran, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Iran, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
MidtermNot listed: Midterm, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Midterm, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
RepublicanNot listed: Republican, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Republican, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
TrumpNot listed: Trump, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled yes: Trump, Sep 10 ’26 interview1/1100%1/1100%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Convicted felonSettled no: Convicted felon, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: Convicted felon, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Corrupt / CorruptionNot listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
DemocracyNot listed: Democracy, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled no: Democracy, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
DeplorableSettled no: Deplorable, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: Deplorable, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
EmailSettled no: Email, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: Email, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
I'm with herSettled no: I'm with her, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: I'm with her, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
ICENot listed: ICE, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled no: ICE, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
PalestineSettled no: Palestine, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: Palestine, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Pokemon GoSettled no: Pokemon Go, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: Pokemon Go, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
PutinSettled no: Putin, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: Putin, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
SexistSettled no: Sexist, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: Sexist, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
TariffNot listed: Tariff, Aug 19 ’24 speechSettled no: Tariff, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Woman presidentSettled no: Woman president, Aug 19 ’24 speechNot listed: Woman president, Sep 10 ’26 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
  • Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
  • N: settled no
  • not listed
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Settled
every settled market of the word: said / listed
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 2

Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Sep 10, 2026InterviewWhat will Hillary Clinton say during Morning Joe?no transcript1510 yes · 5 no–
Aug 19, 2024SpeechWill Hillary Clinton say during DNC speech?no transcript90 yes · 9 no–

Citeparrot.markets, “Hillary Clinton: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hillary-clinton (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/hillary-clinton · words: /api/v1/history?entity=hillary-clinton · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP