Hillary Clinton
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 23 word markets on Hillary Clinton’s appearances since 2024, on 23 different words.
History Wall
1–23 of 23, most settled first| Word | Aug 19 ’24speech | Sep 10 ’26latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Biden | Not listed: Biden, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Biden, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Election, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Healthcare | Not listed: Healthcare, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Healthcare, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Iran, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Midterm | Not listed: Midterm, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Midterm, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Republican, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled yes: Trump, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Convicted felon | Settled no: Convicted felon, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: Convicted felon, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Democracy | Not listed: Democracy, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled no: Democracy, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Deplorable | Settled no: Deplorable, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: Deplorable, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Settled no: Email, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: Email, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | |
| I'm with her | Settled no: I'm with her, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: I'm with her, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled no: ICE, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Palestine | Settled no: Palestine, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: Palestine, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Pokemon Go | Settled no: Pokemon Go, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: Pokemon Go, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Putin | Settled no: Putin, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: Putin, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Sexist | Settled no: Sexist, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: Sexist, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff | Not listed: Tariff, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Settled no: Tariff, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Woman president | Settled no: Woman president, Aug 19 ’24 speech | Not listed: Woman president, Sep 10 ’26 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
Citeparrot.markets, “Hillary Clinton: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hillary-clinton (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/hillary-clinton · words: /api/v1/history?entity=hillary-clinton · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP