Jill Biden

Politics · First family & former presidentsPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 03:58 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 22 word markets on Jill Biden’s appearances since 2026, on 12 different words.

History Wall

1–12 of 12, most settled first

Jill Biden: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	May 31interview	Jun 2latest	Last 2	Settled	Probability
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, May 31 interview	YSettled yes: Trump, Jun 2 interview	2/2100%	2/2100%	55%n=2 from settlement history
2028 / Campaign	NSettled no: 2028 / Campaign, May 31 interview	YSettled yes: 2028 / Campaign, Jun 2 interview	1/250%	1/250%	40%n=2 from settlement history
Democrat / Democratic	NSettled no: Democrat / Democratic, May 31 interview	YSettled yes: Democrat / Democratic, Jun 2 interview	1/250%	1/250%	40%n=2 from settlement history
Kamala / Harris	NSettled no: Kamala / Harris, May 31 interview	YSettled yes: Kamala / Harris, Jun 2 interview	1/250%	1/250%	40%n=2 from settlement history
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 31 interview	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 2 interview	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Autopen	NSettled no: Autopen, May 31 interview	NSettled no: Autopen, Jun 2 interview	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	NSettled no: Golf / Golfer / Golfing, May 31 interview	NSettled no: Golf / Golfer / Golfing, Jun 2 interview	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Melania	NSettled no: Melania, May 31 interview	NSettled no: Melania, Jun 2 interview	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Newsom	NSettled no: Newsom, May 31 interview	NSettled no: Newsom, Jun 2 interview	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Republican	NSettled no: Republican, May 31 interview	NSettled no: Republican, Jun 2 interview	0/20%	0/20%	25%n=2 from settlement history
Ballroom	–Not listed: Ballroom, May 31 interview	NSettled no: Ballroom, Jun 2 interview	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Stroke	–Not listed: Stroke, May 31 interview	NSettled no: Stroke, Jun 2 interview	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Jill Biden: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jill-biden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jill-biden · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jill-biden · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP