Will Wes Moore say “Military”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Military” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026 (25%), most recently on Feb 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 2 latest transcripts we have (3 episodes), it reached the market's count 1 time.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Wes Moore
Military
- Probability
- 41% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Wes Moore say “Military”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Military” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026 (25%), most recently on Feb 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Wes Moore says “Military” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Military’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/military (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=military · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP