Will Wes Moore say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 7, 2026 (44%), most recently on Jul 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 4/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Wes Moore
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- 51% · n=9
- Settled
- 4/9 (44%)
- Last 3 episodes
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 10, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Wes Moore say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 7, 2026 (44%), most recently on Jul 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Wes Moore says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP