Will Wes Moore say “Election”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Election” at 5 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 7, 2026 (62%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 2 latest transcripts we have (3 episodes), it reached the market's count 1 time.

46%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=election

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Wes Moore

Election

Probability
46% · n=8
Settled
5/8 (62%)
Latest transcripts
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Wes Mooreguest20:14In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not said

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Wes Moore say during CBS Mornings? · settled yes

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What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 22, 2026ElectionKalshiYes1
Sep 13, 2026ElectionKalshiYes0
Aug 2, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Jul 5, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Jul 3, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Jun 16, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
May 19, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Apr 7, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Wes Moore say “Election”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Election” at 5 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 7, 2026 (62%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
What is the probability Wes Moore says “Election” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/election (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP