Will Wes Moore say “Democrat”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore said “Democrat” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Wes Moore
Democrat
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 3 episodes
- said in 1 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Wes Moore say “Democrat”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore said “Democrat” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Wes Moore says “Democrat” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP