Will Wes Moore say “Billionaire”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore did not say “Billionaire” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 2 latest transcripts we have (3 episodes), it reached the market's count 0 times.
41%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Wes Moore
Billionaire
- Probability
- 41% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Billionaire |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Billionaire | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Billionaire | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Wes Moore say “Billionaire”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore did not say “Billionaire” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Wes Moore says “Billionaire” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP