Will Todd Blanche say “New York”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche said “New York” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 12, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
New York
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…from that in the future. Just today, in the Southern District of New York, an indictment was returned that charging multiple Russian individuals that since…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | New York |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “New York”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche said “New York” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “New York” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘New York’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/new-york (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=new%20york · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP