Will Todd Blanche say “Iran” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Iran” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 15, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 press briefings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
Iran (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I'd like to ask you about the Iran war and about Anthony Fauci. On the Iran war, Congressman Thomas Massie today introduced articles of impeachment…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Iran (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Iran (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Iran” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Iran (3+ times)” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Iran (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/iran-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=iran%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP