Will Todd Blanche say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Immigrant / Immigration” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 26, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
Immigrant / Immigration
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Investigations is actively investigating Ilhan Omar. If she's found to have committed immigration fraud, would the Trump administration deport her? And then second question is,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Immigrant / Immigration” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP