Will Todd Blanche say “ICE / DHS”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche said “ICE / DHS” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 26, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
ICE / DHS
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…there may be a question about in a moment, the DOJ and DHS are working together to prioritize unlawful voting in our elections. Election integrity…
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | ICE / DHS |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “ICE / DHS”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche said “ICE / DHS” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “ICE / DHS” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘ICE / DHS’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/dhs-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=dhs%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP