All In with Chris Hayes (MS NOW), September 23, 2026
On the Sep 23, 2026 episode of All In with Chris Hayes, 0 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
14 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 71%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 61%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 49%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billionaire | No | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/all-in-with-chris-hayes:2026-09-23:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=all-in-with-chris-hayes:2026-09-23:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP